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Kelly Criterion
Announcements
Portfolio Strategy
Superforecasting
Risk Management
Probability-weighted Return
Portfolio Optimization
Institutional Investor
External Articles
Essentia Analytics
Clare Flynn Levy
Benn Dunn
Behavioral Finance
Arthur Laffer
Analytics
More Evidence Of Manager Skill – Concentration Manifesto Continued
Analytics
Institutional Investor
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Optimization
Risk Management
More Evidence Of Manager Skill – Concentration Manifesto Continued
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, Concentration Manifesto, batting average, win percentage, measuring skill
Jul 5, 2018
Don’t Double Discount Your Discounted Cash Flow
Analytics
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Optimization
Risk Management
Don’t Double Discount Your Discounted Cash Flow
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, discounted cash flow analysis, risk-premium, risk scenario
Jun 4, 2018
Positive Skew…Part 2 – Maybe It’s Not So Bad For Active Managers After All
Analytics
External Articles
Institutional Investor
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Optimization
Positive Skew…Part 2 – Maybe It’s Not So Bad For Active Managers After All
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, positive skew, stock return, index return
May 3, 2018
Positive Skew Is Negative For Active Managers
Analytics
Benn Dunn
Institutional Investor
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Optimization
Positive Skew Is Negative For Active Managers
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, positive skew, market skew
Apr 6, 2018
Size-Based Batting - A Different Perspective On Stock Selection
Analytics
Institutional Investor
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Optimization
Risk Management
Size-Based Batting - A Different Perspective On Stock Selection
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, batting average, stock picking, size-based batting
Mar 2, 2018
Alpha Theory Case Study: Top Performing Funds Of 2017
Analytics
Institutional Investor
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Optimization
Risk Management
Alpha Theory Case Study: Top Performing Funds Of 2017
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, case study, equity fund
Feb 7, 2018
2017 Year In Review
Analytics
Institutional Investor
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Optimization
Risk Management
2017 Year In Review
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, position sizing, research slippage
Jan 5, 2018
Superforecasting For Investors: Part 2
Analytics
Institutional Investor
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Optimization
Risk Management
Superforecasting For Investors: Part 2
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, book club, superforecasting
Dec 15, 2017
Concentration During Periods Of High Volatility
Analytics
Portfolio Strategy
Concentration During Periods Of High Volatility
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, concentration manifesto, high volatility, monte carlo
Dec 1, 2017
Predictably Insightful: Recap Of The Behavioral Alpha Conference
Analytics
Clare Flynn Levy
Essentia Analytics
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Optimization
Predictably Insightful: Recap Of The Behavioral Alpha Conference
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, Behavioral Alpha Conference, Essentia Analytics, Predictably Irrational
Nov 10, 2017
American Idols
Superforecasting
American Idols
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, forecasting, Good Judgement Inc, The Frontier of Forecasting Conference
Oct 20, 2017
Poker: Art Vs Science
Analytics
Portfolio Strategy
Risk Management
Poker: Art Vs Science
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, Game Theory Optimal, GTO
Oct 6, 2017
Asset Manager Reliance On Human Judgement Vs Machine
Analytics
Institutional Investor
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Optimization
Risk Management
Asset Manager Reliance On Human Judgement Vs Machine
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, human judgement, asset management, man and machine
Sep 14, 2017
Man Versus Model Of Man: Lewis Goldberg
External Articles
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Optimization
Risk Management
Man Versus Model Of Man: Lewis Goldberg
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, Lewis Goldberg, Man Versus Model of Man, model-based decision making
Aug 18, 2017
Crist On Value
External Articles
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Optimization
Risk Management
Crist On Value
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, Crist on Value, probability-weighted return
Jul 28, 2017
Jason Zweig On Being Your Own Quant
Portfolio Strategy
Risk Management
Jason Zweig On Being Your Own Quant
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, cognitive bias, Magnetar Capital
Jul 5, 2017
The Value Of Price Targets
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Optimization
Risk Management
The Value Of Price Targets
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, Return on Invested Capital, ROIC, price targets
Jun 1, 2017
Changing The Course Of Active Management — The Concentration Manifesto
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Optimization
Risk Management
Changing The Course Of Active Management — The Concentration Manifesto
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, Concentration Manifesto, maximize edge
May 15, 2017
Investor Bias Seen In Data
Institutional Investor
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Optimization
Risk Management
Investor Bias Seen In Data
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, investor bias, optimal position size
Apr 17, 2017
Ted Seides - Alpha Theory Book Club
Analytics
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Optimization
Risk Management
Ted Seides - Alpha Theory Book Club
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, Ted Seides, hedge fund, book club
Mar 13, 2017
Stock Picking Is Hard
Analytics
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Optimization
Risk Management
Stock Picking Is Hard
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, CNBC, Berkshire Hathaway, The Mundanity of Excellence, Michael Mauboussin
Feb 24, 2017
ALPHA THEORY - 2016 YEAR IN REVIEW
Analytics
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Optimization
Risk Management
ALPHA THEORY - 2016 YEAR IN REVIEW
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, HFRI Equity Hedge Index, optimal position sizing, return on invested capital, forecasting
Jan 31, 2017
2017 NEW YEAR’S RESOLUTIONS
Analytics
Portfolio Strategy
Risk Management
2017 NEW YEAR’S RESOLUTIONS
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, New Years Resolution, investment process, build habits, achieve goals
Dec 28, 2016
Using Analytics To Improve Investment Process
Analytics
Portfolio Strategy
Risk Management
Using Analytics To Improve Investment Process
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, forecast analytics, probability,
Nov 30, 2016
LUCK VS. SKILL IN INVESTING (Alpha Theory Book Club With Michael Mauboussin)
External Articles
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Optimization
Risk Management
LUCK VS. SKILL IN INVESTING (Alpha Theory Book Club With Michael Mauboussin)
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, Success Equation, Michael Mauboussin, book club, luck and skill
Oct 7, 2016
The Day The Music Died
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Optimization
Risk Management
Superforecasting
The Day The Music Died
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Fantasy Football, Cameron Hight
Sep 12, 2016
THE CROWDING CONUNDRUM
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Optimization
Risk Management
THE CROWDING CONUNDRUM
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, crowdedness, position sizing, Novus
Sep 1, 2016
The Power Of Process — How Fundamental Investors Benefit From Quantitative Thinking
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Optimization
Risk Management
The Power Of Process — How Fundamental Investors Benefit From Quantitative Thinking
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, quantitative thinking, explicit forecasts, position sizing
Aug 11, 2016
Superforecasting – Alpha Theory Book Club
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Optimization
Risk Management
Superforecasting
Superforecasting – Alpha Theory Book Club
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, superforecasting, Cameron Hight, book club
Jul 18, 2016
How Good Are My Analysts? Building A Better Hedge Fund Through Moneyball & Superforecasting
Portfolio Strategy
Portfolio Optimization
Risk Management
Superforecasting
How Good Are My Analysts? Building A Better Hedge Fund Through Moneyball & Superforecasting
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, accuracy score, Moneyball, batting average, price targets, probabilities
Jun 21, 2016
All In A Day’s Work – Mental Capital Allocation
Portfolio Strategy
Risk Management
All In A Day’s Work – Mental Capital Allocation
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, mental capital, position sizing
May 31, 2016
The Misperception Of False Precision For Price Targets And Probabilities
Portfolio Strategy
Risk Management
The Misperception Of False Precision For Price Targets And Probabilities
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, price targets, probabilities, downside, risk-reward
Apr 25, 2016
 Active Managers: The Time Is Now
Clare Flynn Levy
Essentia Analytics
Portfolio Strategy
Risk Management
Active Managers: The Time Is Now
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, Essentia Analytics, hedge, long-only
Apr 4, 2016
Ruminations On Risk
Benn Dunn
Risk Management
Ruminations On Risk
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, Benn Dunn, Alpha Theory Advisors
Mar 21, 2016
How Do Hedge Funds Become Better Forecasters? - A Collaborative Study Between Novus And Alpha Theory.
External Articles
Portfolio Strategy
Risk Management
How Do Hedge Funds Become Better Forecasters? - A Collaborative Study Between Novus And Alpha Theory.
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, hedge funds, forecasting, price targets
Feb 22, 2016
The Performance Of Process
Portfolio Strategy
Risk Management
The Performance Of Process
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, discipline, disciplined investment process, position sizing
Jan 26, 2016
AN INVESTOR’S NEW YEAR’S REFLECTION
Portfolio Strategy
AN INVESTOR’S NEW YEAR’S REFLECTION
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, position sizing, golden rule, mental capital
Dec 29, 2015
Superforecasting: The Future Of Analyst Performance Measurement
Portfolio Strategy
Risk Management
Superforecasting: The Future Of Analyst Performance Measurement
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory Blog, Brier Score, superforecasting, price forecasts
Nov 30, 2015
Do Price Targets Matter In Volatile Markets? (And, Why Alpha Theory Should Be A Starting Point Even In Turbulent Times)
Portfolio Optimization
Do Price Targets Matter In Volatile Markets? (And, Why Alpha Theory Should Be A Starting Point Even In Turbulent Times)
Alpha Theory, Alpha Theory blog, Cameron Hight, price targets, volatile markets, down directional market
Oct 12, 2015
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